基于層次分析法和模糊評價方法相結(jié)合的裝備數(shù)據(jù)評估模型方法研究
網(wǎng)絡安全與數(shù)據(jù)治理
黃杰1，袁俊2，崔翛龍1，程傳奇1，代修3，周小飛1
1.武警工程大學反恐指揮信息工程教育部重點實驗室（立項）； 2.武警部隊參謀部；3.武警貴州總隊
摘要： 針對武警部隊裝備效能評估問題，提出一種基于層次分析法和模糊綜合評價法相結(jié)合的效能評估模型。首先，綜合考慮武警部隊任務特點和裝備建設情況，從“五種能力”角度出發(fā)，運用層次分析方法構(gòu)建了包括目標層、環(huán)境影響層、3級準則層、方案層在內(nèi)的6層結(jié)構(gòu)模型，并對結(jié)構(gòu)模型的指標體系設置相應權(quán)重；之后利用模糊綜合評價法，建立相應模糊評估模型，對裝備效能等級進行評判；最后以模擬評估綜合保障能力為例列出了評估模型的具體步驟和實現(xiàn)方法，結(jié)果顯示評估值為77.5，評判等級為及格，符合實際。通過實例驗證，所提評估方法能夠有效地實現(xiàn)武警部隊裝備效能評估，為武警部隊后續(xù)裝備建設籌劃提供了理論支持，為裝備體系效能評估提供了一種分析思路。
中圖分類號：E252文獻標識碼：ADOI:10.19358/j.issn.2097-1788.2024.11.008引用格式：黃杰，袁俊，崔翛龍，等.基于層次分析法和模糊評價方法相結(jié)合的裝備數(shù)據(jù)評估模型方法研究［J］.網(wǎng)絡安全與數(shù)據(jù)治理，2024，43（11）：43-49，55.
Research on evaluation for equipment data based on the combination of analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation Huang
Jie1,Yuan Jun2,Cui Xiaolong1,Cheng Chuanqi1,Dai Xiu3,Zhou Xiaofei1
1.Key Laboratory of Counterterrorism Command & Information Engineering (Engineering University of PAP),Ministry of Education (Project Approval); 2.General Staff of PAP;3.Guizhou Corps of PAP
Abstract： Aiming at the operational capability evaluation for PAP′s equipment, an evaluation method is proposed in this paper, which is based on the combination of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation. Firstly, taking the PAP′s mission characteristics and its current equipment construction situation into consideration comprehensively and from the perspective of the ‘Five Abilities’, a 6-layers structure model including target hierarchy, environmental impact hierarchy, 3 criteria hierarchies and scheme hierarchy is constructed by the AHP, and then the corresponding weight index system is established. Secondly, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is adopted to construct a fuzzy evaluation model to evaluate the operational capability level of equipment. Finally, the concrete steps and implementation methods of the model are listed by taking the simulation evaluation of comprehensive support capability as example, and the result shows that evaluation value is 77.5 and the evaluation grade is ‘Pass’, which is consistent with the army′s actual situation. Testing example verifies that the evaluation method proposed in this paper can effectively evaluate the operational capability evaluation for PAP′s equipment, which provides theoretical support for the subsequent construction and planning of PAP′s equipment and proposes an analytical thought for the operational capability evaluation.
Key words : equipment; capability evaluation;analytic hierarchy process; fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
引言
裝備效能分析是對裝備發(fā)揮效能過程所進行的一系列評估活動，是推動任務需求向裝備發(fā)展需求的有效過程，能夠為裝備發(fā)展及其建設等提供理論支撐［1-2］。裝備在一定條件下能夠完成既定任務的優(yōu)劣程度，是裝備體系的綜合效能的表征。為更加客觀地評價體系，以便后續(xù)加強體系能力建設，需要研究科學合理的方法對現(xiàn)編裝備進行綜合評估。
當前，常用的裝備能力評價方法大致為：結(jié)構(gòu)分析法、系統(tǒng)效能分析法、層次分析法（AHP）、指數(shù)法以及模糊綜合評估法等［3-5］。這些評估方法或存計算方法復雜、或存在評估不完全等問題，不能完全滿足復雜的部隊評估要求。本文提出了一種基于層次分析法與模糊綜合評估法相結(jié)合的裝備能力評估模型，該模型力圖通過有效整合相關數(shù)據(jù)信息，分析部隊裝備情況，給出合理可信的評分等級，為部隊后續(xù)裝備建設提供理論指導和決策依據(jù)。
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作者信息：
黃杰1，袁俊2，崔翛龍1，程傳奇1，代修3，周小飛1
(1.武警工程大學反恐指揮信息工程教育部重點實驗室（立項），陜西西安710086；
2.武警部隊參謀部，北京100854；
3.武警貴州總隊，貴州貴陽550000)
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